> Canonical page: https://posttrainllm.com/benchmarks/chess

Development Gate 0 · 20 novel positions · no tools

# The gradient is real.

Can chess specialization compress frontier move selection into a 30–50M Mac-local model? Puzzles are the ruler. Complete games show what those scores look like when policies must keep choosing.

 ✓

 Gate 0 passed Eligible for a frozen suite—not training yet.

**Frontier**
 65%

**9B local**
 10%

**4B local**
 0%

**Random calibrated**
 6.74%

Prerecorded evidence

## Watch every decision.

 Puzzle Arena Match Arena

 Puzzle 1 / 20 —

 Turn —

 ← Play →

 Selected policy —

 development

 Exact character input —

 Model output —

 Best move —

 Latency —

 •

Choose a policy and position.

 Recorded game

Primary ruler

## Tactical move selection

 Stockfish 18 labels · depth 12

Swipe the table to inspect latency and interpretation →

**Policy**

**Role**

**Exact**

**Legal**

**Mean decision**

**Interpretation**

**Codex gpt-5.5**
 frontier 13 / 20 · 65% 100% 23.69 s Gate anchor passed

**Qwen3.5 9B**
 local general 2 / 20 · 10% 90% 577 ms Above 4B, far below frontier

**Qwen3 4B**
 local general 0 / 20 · 0% 95% 294 ms Legal executor, no tactical hits

**Random legal**
 calibrated diagnostic 6.74% expected 100%

 Why this passes: frontier exceeded calibrated random by 58.26 points and the strongest local model by 55 points, while returning a legal move on every position. The ruler is promising; it is not frozen benchmark evidence yet.

Expanded candidate audit

## More data exposed the ceiling problem.

 100 generated · 86 admitted · 40 reviewed

Different coverage is shown explicitly; do not rank a 10-position row against a 40-position row →

**Policy**

**Coverage**

**Exact**

**Raw legal**

**Executed legal**

**Redirect**

**Mean decision**

**GPT-5.5 codex-cli**
 40 / 40 28 / 40 · 70% 100% 100% 0% 18.94 s

**GPT-5.5 high reasoning**
 40 / 40 24 / 40 · 60% 97.5% 100% 2.5% 26.92 s

**GPT-5.4 codex-cli**
 40 / 40 30 / 40 · 75% 97.5% 100% 2.5% 44.70 s

**GPT-5.4-mini codex-cli**
 10 / 40 8 / 10 · 80% 100% 100% 0% 70.47 s

**Claude Sonnet 5 claude-cli**
 20 / 40 13 / 20 · 65% 90% 100% 10% 30.09 s

**Claude Opus 4.8 claude-cli**
 10 / 40 7 / 10 · 70% 70% 100% 30% 86.80 s

**Devin GLM-5.2 devin-cli**
 20 / 40 14 / 20 · 70% 100% 100% 0% not exposed

 Why this is not frozen: Stockfish's top move was stable at depths 16 and 20 on all 100 candidates, but no frontier lane reached the required near-100% ceiling. GPT-5.5 high reasoning scored lower than medium reasoning. The calibrated random mean was 6.7%. Human audit comes next; small-model grading and training remain blocked.

Secondary demonstration

## A match score can lie.

Qwen 4B recorded two wins and two draws against Qwen 9B—but both wins were notation forfeits, and both draws were 14-ply repetitions. That is why the dense puzzle ruler decides admission while complete games remain inspectable behavior.

**Recorded games**
 4

**4B wins**
 2

**Draws**
 2

**9B wins**
 0

**Notation forfeits**
 2

Reproduce locally

## Same board. Same legal set. No engine.

Same FEN, sorted legal UCI set, greedy decoding, eight output tokens maximum, no engine/tools/search/code/rollouts.

 python3.12 scripts/chess/chess_mlx_pilot.py --suite evals/chess/fixtures/development-puzzles-v1.json --model <MODEL_PATH> --model-ref <MODEL_REF> --policy-id <ID> --output runs/chess/<ID>.json Copy command

 Observation FEN + ply + sorted legal UCI moves

 Strict output One legal UCI move, nothing else

 Rules python-chess 1.999

 Labels Stockfish 18, depth 12

 Download prerecorded evidence

## What this does not prove

- This is a 20-position development gate, not the future frozen benchmark.
- The frontier identity is a mutable Codex model alias and cannot support a frozen public ceiling claim yet.
- Engine-generated tactical-gap positions test move selection but do not yet provide broad human-authored theme coverage.
- The paired local games are demonstrative only: notation forfeits and short repetitions make them unsuitable for Elo or capability ranking.
- No 30–50M specialist has been trained or evaluated.
